World Power Acceleration To Emerging Countries Transfer
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Newly industrialized countries, economic prosperity and rapid population growth is changing the scene on the planet. World population will increase to 9.0 billion, but there are two exceptions: Europe and Japan. Europe in the next 40 years will reduce the 50 million population, so it will be goodbye to the transformation of the traditional principles of laboratory growth. In the future more people will no longer be used to create more economic success, but with fewer people and now created at least the same economic success in order to ensure prosperous standard of living. This change will affect Europe's economy and business strategy and will also have a significant impact on business models.
The global power structure within the scope of change has begun. Financial crisis has accelerated the transfer of power to the emerging industrial countries. In industrial countries, the crisis exposed a long time since the currency issued by the National Bank of cheap concealed structural weaknesses. In the United States, Japan and Europe, the high national debt, the welfare system and the heavy burden of an aging society in the long term limit economic growth potential. Discard the East and West after the Iron Curtain 20 years, the market economy and globalization for billions of people witnessed the rapid economic development, but now a lot of rich industrial countries are subjected to the impact of falling living standards. Western democracies, so it is disturbing, and even shows the characteristics of the lost.
Financial crisis is a major event. It originated in the West, irresponsible lending, and now the pain of consequences to the West the most. With the previous post-war financial crisis, this time the West can no longer play the role of teachers. It is the face of China, India, Brazil, Indonesia or Turkey, confident country. Since these countries to adjust the economic structure to achieve rapid economic growth, so they know how to carry out their own interests. New world economic order embodied in the International Monetary Fund reform. In the future, in addition to traditional industrial 7 foreign countries, Brazil, Russia, India and China, the four "BRIC" countries, will power the International Monetary Fund among the 11 largest shareholders as well.
Industrial countries have adopted free trade and liberalization of financial markets, strong economic growth for the world to create the preconditions. Now, regulators began to tighten the screws, the state's influence on the economy strengthening again - even in countries where the influence has been great. Suddenly, as the devaluation of the currency war or fighting contests the concept of trade protectionism, they linger in people's ears. This indicates that the new multi-polar world would not be a simple world. In the West, the crisis is the result of a rediscovery of the consequences of national capitalism. State-controlled economy in the East the body, after state capitalism has existed. China, Russia and oil-producing countries of the world economy, sovereign wealth funds to invest 3 trillion in U.S. dollars, they spend money than all hedge fund assets combined. Country portfolio manager claimed that the money used for non-political investment. But people believe it?
The outbreak of the world, the competition between the economic system. Republic of China for the first time the capitalist and communist economic system, combining authoritarian rule, this successful model and the Anglo - Saxon-style capitalism, market economy and finance in Europe and Japan, creating a competitive social market economy. The results also do not know. Choose which mode of other countries? In Asia, the planet's two most populous countries - China and the socialist democratic India - on behalf of other countries to start the next order of battle.
Currently, once paralyzed superpower looks like the same. Helpless, looking at China or the United States in South America and the raw materials purchased by investors to play a leadership role. China's growing influence in Africa, many countries rich in raw materials, contact with China than with the United States closer together. Most attention is the Middle East oil-producing countries. Who controls where the energy reserves, will come to a decisive impact on the world. Saudi Arabia has to a large part of today to provide oil to Asia. A similar situation may also occur in Iraq, if the world's second largest oil reserves in the recovery from the war over words. The United States wanted to force Iran to yield to sanctions so far but in vain. As long as Pakistan or Iran, Turkey, was kind enough to trade frequently, the U.S. plan would not succeed.
Purchasing power parity terms, China's economy may be able to surpass the U.S. in 2012. At that time, China will once again return to the colonial period before it has a total one-fifth of the world economy where the place, and that is that it thinks should be in place: the top of the world economy. |
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2010-12-29 04:20:45 |
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