Federal Reserve QE Next Year Economy Trend Forecast
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Despite the slow, but the U.S. economy was still showing growth. In the market economy in 2011 have predicted growth will continue, under the circumstances, the Fed's policy of quantitative easing the need bear in a bear?
Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser said the Fed may need to slow down or stop buying U.S. debt plan for next year as U.S. economic growth accelerated response. This is the Fed's stance on the loose again, "civil strife."
Still hangs in the balance next year's economic
Different positions on the loose from the U.S. economic recovery prospects on different views. Pu Luosuo forecast growth rate of the U.S. economy next year will be 3% to 3.5%, the inflation rate will be increased to a maximum of 2%. He said: "The U.S. economy is still in a moderate recovery process, I believe that economic growth will be maintained. From a fundamental point of view, I think that economic growth can be maintained, but not quickly."
Local time on 22 December, the Commerce Department data showed that in the third quarter, real GDP value of the final revised annual rate of 2.6%, higher than the increase in the two previous estimates, indicating that the rate of a little U.S. economic recovery has accelerated. The fourth quarter is expected to further enhance economic growth. In addition, compared to the major sector for some time before the U.S. economic growth forecast in 2011, recently many institutions regard to the forecast increase in 2011 set the U.S. economy more than 3%. Goldman Sachs report released yesterday, predicted that the U.S. economy in 2011 will grow 3.4% in 2012 will increase 3.8%.
However, the same agencies predicted the U.S. economy is obviously not optimistic. Previously, OECD economic forecast released, will cut U.S. economic growth in 2011 to 2.2%. Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences Panzheng Yan, deputy director of Center for Financial Research in the interview with this reporter said: "The next year, with the increase in the U.S. economy this year, almost, not too high you will not be too low."
Treasury purchase not stop
Federal Reserve, how decision-making monetary policy, U.S. economic growth is indeed a major consideration. However, is not the only deciding factor. Currently, the Fed may be more concerned that the U.S. consumption growth, export growth, and other classification factors. Especially the U.S. unemployment rate will be affected to a greater extent, the Fed's decision.
Although the benchmark interest rate close to zero and 1.7 trillion of debt acquisition has helped the U.S. economy out of recession cycle, but still failed to close down the U.S. 26-year high unemployment rate.
Although U.S. exports and the trade deficit situation is gradually improving, but the premise of this improvement is the U.S. policy of low interest rates caused by depreciation of the dollar. Once the United States to end the current low interest rates, U.S. export growth momentum is likely to disappear. |
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2010-12-27 22:27:05 |
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