Quantitative Easing Disrupt the Global Economy
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The Fed is also committed to further quantitative easing? Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's remarks on the 5th of speech under the market and analysts a conclusion: quantitative easing should continue. While the other developed countries to emulate, the wind came out, Lee is the immediate, destroyed the global economy.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the situation for now, the U.S. unemployment rate back to 5% to 6% of normal levels also need 4 years to 5 years. The second round of the quantitative easing monetary policy may be higher than the actual size of 600 billion U.S. dollars. And there are concerns that, if the result is not satisfactory, the Fed may start the third round of the quantitative easing policy.
The Fed announced a second round of the quantitative easing monetary policy, it will be before the end of June 2011 to buy 600 billion U.S. dollars of U.S. Treasury bonds. This theory came out, by other countries criticized for trying to drive down the dollar exchange rate, to stimulate U.S. exports, has been widely questioned and opposed the international community.
The so-called "quantitative easing", the United States, is printing more money, increase the liquidity of the market, reducing the pressure on banks. In general, this move is not common, many are invalid after the stimulus, spending and borrowing in order to encourage the use of extraordinary measures.
This move is only the United States unique? European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said Dec. 2, to maintain 1% of the benchmark interest rate, and liquidity of the bank's long-term measures for a further extension of 3 months, and had the plan to end early next month, will also be buying the euro District State treasury bonds. Some say it is the U.S. policy of quantitative easing miniature Europe, but Trichet has denied that, "This is not quantitative easing", but somewhat "modesty" in tone.
The next day the Fed announced the policy, the Bank of Japan announced the continued implementation of the zero interest rate policy, and began to use new fund to buy bonds. As early as 10 months, the Bank of Japan has introduced a zero interest rate, but also the implementation of a 5 trillion yen in financial assets purchase program, and through other forms of 30 trillion yen for the market to provide liquidity.
Can not ignore the "interests"
Developed countries spare no effort in implementation of the "quantitative easing", in the end why? Two words: "good." If we add the words of modifier is the "national interest."
According to the U.S. logic, it does not from his own body to find a "lesion", but "wider than to be yourself, strict law people." It is targeting the Chinese, that the yuan's policy led to massive trade imbalance, leading to the American people lost their jobs. So to force the appreciation of the renminbi, to make their currency devaluation, and enhance their export competitiveness, to set up factories in other countries to move back to the United States, to create more jobs. After RMB appreciation, it makes the yen, the euro currency appreciation in other countries as well.
EU to adopt quantitative easing, but also such circumstances. Irish debt crisis, debt crisis escalated once again in Europe, Spain, Portugal, there are hidden dangers known to the debt situation. 2 IMF's Strauss-Kahn said in public that the current European sovereign debt crisis is in the "edge of the abyss," the collapse of the euro is from the "unthinkable" to "inevitable." European public opinion holds that quantitative easing monetary policy is the last straw to save the euro.
The term quantitative easing by the Bank of Japan raised the first to have experienced a loss of two decades in Japan, but also understand that here "true meaning", can not let the yen appreciate, otherwise it will crash the car and other industries, only the depreciation of the economy in order to keep his .
Dog in the manger of the tricks
"Quantitative easing" useful? Temporarily useful, long-term harmful. This one, the U.S. stock market crashed to rise, the Dow Jones and NASDAQ indices way lifted, the attitude of "prosperity" of the scene.
However, countries in emerging economies, developed countries implement monetary easing policy again, will inevitably lead to huge capital outflows, thereby increasing appreciation of the currencies in emerging countries are facing and foam risks. Currently, the market asset price bubble is forming, the global inflation situation is grim, the national CPI in emerging economies to new heights. As the Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade said the Fed's policy to "reduced to extreme poverty of their neighbors."
Developed countries is absolutely positive it? Impossible. Some analysts pointed out that no country would be willing to let their national currencies, the main economies will take action to control their currency, which U.S. policy is a move stupid move, if you devaluation did not bring about export growth, quantitative easing will be lead to inflation, the first led to rising oil prices. Subprime mortgage crisis, high unemployment, coupled with high oil prices, the developed countries how to right?
Some scholars have analyzed the spread of quantitative easing, the world will face another global crisis.
However, it is not without solution. Some experts, in the fragile global economic environment, quantitative easing will only lead to competitive devaluations. The problem is not the most effective way entangled in the exchange rate, but through cooperation. How cooperation? Common commitment of all States fiscal expansion, structural reform and correct the trade imbalance. The most crucial point is to establish a new global monetary system or the expansion of the International Monetary Fund special drawing rights of use. After the establishment of this new system, poor countries no longer need to reserve hundreds of billions of dollars to prevent the global turmoil, this will increase in the total global demand, the world in order to restore strong growth. |
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2010-12-22 16:30:51 |
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