Federal Reserve Policy Bring up Next Year Metal Market Opportunities
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In the international copper prices hit a new high, the market for the metal market in 2011 is still expected to rise mainly as a whole showing high and volatile pattern. Analysts said the market's major opportunities next year, still comes from the Federal Reserve to continue easing.
Throw in the second round of the Fed plans to announce the implementation of quantitative easing in the month, the international price of gold, LME tin prices, LME copper prices have hit a record high. Domestic A shares in the biggest increase in the non-ferrous metal plate ahead of the broader market and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index more than 30% of the non-ferrous metals and other resources on the impact of product breadth and depth may exceed expectations.
Outlook 2011, the entire base metals prices in 2011 will show a pattern of high and volatile. As the global market as a whole the overall situation of ample liquidity will not change, so the first stage of the trading opportunities that the market price fell sharply from the oversold bounce has brought opportunities.
Another stage of the trading opportunities are from the Federal Reserve, the Japanese release of liquidity once again, U.S. and Japan still inject new liquidity to the market potential. Once again, coded "water", non-ferrous metals prices and related sectors will undoubtedly usher in a wave of new stock opportunities.
Mentality from the current market, investors this week is generally considered an important window of time. If the November CPI year on year increase of more than 5% probability of a larger interest rate increase. If tightening boots landing stage, which means being a bad make short-term, the metals market, or there was a substantial rebound, the recent rise passively with the situation or be improved. On the contrary, not a tightening, tightening is expected to clear on the price is likely to continue to suppress, the metal or continue with the rising trend.
China's current interest rates, the European inhibition of basic metals sector debt crisis. Does not exist in the United States and Japan over the expected release of the liquidity situation, China's interest rate is clearly greater weight. Especially when the market can not be expected contraction of liquidity in China's strength and intensity, China's rate hike there is the possibility to enlarge the market pessimism, giving rise to the basic metals sector fell sharply short-term risk.
The debt crisis in Europe in 2011 will not be fully resolved. Common problems excessive deficit in a year can not be resolved the problem on the list, such as Spain, Portugal, Italy, to a long list of lists, and these economies of scale are Greece and Ireland can not match. In 2011, the euro zone debt crisis will continue to disrupt the capital markets from time to time appeared, causing large swings in the basic metals sector.
In this regard, Guan Jian Xin national security analysts believe that Europe is indeed dollar debt crisis delaying tactic. Ireland second round of the debt crisis will wash away the quantitative easing pressure on the dollar depreciation caused. Currently, the United States, low inflation, high unemployment, the quantitative easing monetary policy for creating an excellent excuse for a rare in peacetime movement of global money printing has started, a weak dollar more in line with U.S. national interests. |
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2010-12-15 14:29:32 |
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