Brazilian President Vows to Cut Debt to Reduce Interest Rates
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October 31 has just been elected the new president of Brazil on November 2 Fu said the government will reduce debt levels by the way, "sustainability to" reduce the level of interest rates in the country. Previously, Rousseff in the campaign, said the new government plans to government net debt by 2014 gross domestic product (GDP) share to 30%; the time, about 6% of the country's real interest rates will fall .
The same day, the central bank hiked interest rates in India after the Bank president Suba Rao said the bank the next 3 months do not raise interest rates, due to the spread widening and the developed economies and the global flood of liquidity will lead to international accelerate the inflow of hot money.
Analysts believe that the next few days, the Fed will soon introduce a new liberal policies, the British European central bank announced interest rate decision and maintain ultra-liberal environment, the Federal Reserve of Bank of Japan Yang breath, loose set down the spread of global liquidity and the scurrying of hot money will force emerging economies to tighten the money, run up the fence of capital inflows in order to avoid inflation and asset bubbles collapse.
Fiscal austerity in order to reduce interest rates
Rousseff said that the Government's objective now is to the level of net debt-GDP from the current 42% to 38%. She said, "If this level of net debt to fall, then technically, there is no reason interest rates in Brazil will not return the international average." Moreover, "only when a downward trend in public debt, the Brazilian interest rates will decline. "However, she did not give a timetable for deficit reduction.
On the same day, the appointment of former finance minister Antonio Opa Rousseff Lodge transition team leader for the new government, concentrating on the Brazilian government debt and deficit reduction in the size of the work. Palocci in 2003 to 2006, during the period when any of the Palestinian finance minister, the success of Brazilian inflation rate from 17.2% to 5.3%; year to double Brazil's stock market Bovespa index. Before being appointed in Palocci, Brazil, local media generally believe that reducing the fiscal deficit Rousseff or not Brazil's central bank to cut interest rates to a level; the contrary, the bank or in the next four years to raise interest rates 75 basis points.
Data show that, in order to curb inflation, the Brazilian central bank has accumulated since April this year to raise interest rates 200 basis points to 10.75%. The high interest rates accelerated the inflow of hot money, the Brazilian currency, the real has risen since last year, about 28%. To this end, Brazil's central bank has recently introduced various measures to gradually regulate capital inflows, including foreign investment to improve financial operations for the tax rate to 5%, and the prohibition of foreign investment in local financial institutions to provide services such as futures markets.
India's "inaction" 3 months
2 Suba Rao in a press conference later, said, "unless (economic data) has fluctuated wildly, or recent changes to interest rates is unlikely. As to how long the near future, I believe it will be 3 months . "since 2010, India's central bank has been raising interest rates six times.
Suba Rao also said the current economic growth based solely on the level and trend of inflation rate, Reserve Bank of India recently to take more action to the possibility of lower interest rates. In his view, the bank's series of actions will help reduce India's current fiscal year (until the end of March 2011) the wholesale price index (WPI), from the current 8.6% to 5.5%. He also expects the country's economic growth this fiscal year will reach 8.5%, the fastest for the past three years.
Observers believe that India would soon decline in the inflation rate, therefore, the Indian central bank will pay more attention to capital inflows and increase the rupee currency issues. Data show that poor driving by the investment rate of return over the past year, the Indian stock market and bond inflows of foreign investment reached 25 billion U.S. dollars, respectively, and 100 billion; the same period the rupee against the U.S. dollar rose about 4.6%, India's Sensex stock index has risen 16.5 %. |
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2010-11-05 22:37:26 |
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