United States Will Soon Restart the Quantitative Easing
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The so-called quantitative easing, the Fed is to use various types of bonds and dollars to buy bad assets, its essence is an alternative to printing money argument. This will cause the dollar further, and further increase the pressure on global liquidity flood.
"The unemployment situation remains severe, with low risk of inflation, the Fed is ready if necessary to take further monetary easing and promoting economic recovery and job creation, so that the inflation rate back to an appropriate level." Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke 15 said Wednesday. Bernanke, Federal Reserve Bank in Boston the day of a conference speech that the Fed's two main policy functions --- boost and maintain price stability, full employment --- the current unsatisfactory. In terms of employment, since the summer, the U.S. economy slowed the pace of recovery, 6 month since January, new private sector jobs of 8.5 million, it is not enough to make the unemployment rate dropped significantly. Statistics show that the current U.S. unemployment rate remains as high as 9.6%. In the price front, the U.S. economy is currently facing the risk of inflation is too low. Over the past year, calculated using the average truncated core consumer prices rose by only 0.9%. Under normal circumstances, the Federal Reserve that inflation rate of 1.5% to 2% for the appropriate level.
Widely expected in 3 to 4 November at the next Federal Reserve meeting on interest rate policy, which is expected to introduce relevant measures. During the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve to maintain low interest rates near zero, about 1.7 trillion U.S. dollars to buy mortgage related bonds and Treasury bonds, to reduce the market cost of borrowing.
UK Economic and Business Research (CEBR) 10 月 18 日 also known as the Bank of England (BO E) plans to expand the emergency bond purchase program 100 billion pounds to ease the formation of the Government to reduce fiscal pressures on the economy. Stimulus plan this month, the Bank of England kept at 200 billion pounds. CEBR said the Bank of England base rate will continue to be maintained at the historical low of 0.5%, unchanged from late 2012 and is expected to be decision-making by maximizing ease monetary policy to cope with the impact of financial cuts.
Quantitative easing monetary depreciation of the dollar exacerbated the crisis surfaced war
Market consensus, the Fed restart quantitative easing, will aggravate the spread of liquidity and further weighed on the dollar. Purposes, the dollar has led to the proliferation of other non-US currencies have "been appreciated." Last month, the yen appreciated 5.13%, 1.09% appreciation of the Malaysian ringgit, Singapore dollar appreciated 3.10%, the NT rose 3.56%, 5.82% Australian dollar.
The world seem to hear the voice of open currency war, this threat mainly from the continued depreciation of the dollar. With the recent re-release of the U.S. monetary authorities continue to expand the liquidity out of the signal, the international financial markets jittery, major economies have taken steps to try to prevent changes in the international financial market has brought disastrous effects to their economies.
At present, many countries have increased the degree of intervention in foreign exchange markets. In India, for the control of the Indian currency rupee appreciation against the U.S. dollar, the Central Bank of India, Reserve Bank of India on the 14th of direct intervention in currency markets; in Japan as the yen against the U.S. dollar briefly broke into the 80 mark the evening of 14 after Prime Minister Naoto Kan and other politicians have been warning.
During this period, the RMB has also been a great deal of pressure on the United States and Europe and other countries have put pressure on RMB exchange rate issue to me. A dispute is likely to be held on March 22 G 20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting started. Some analysts believe that recent exchange rate of the participating officials expect the dispute will be discussed. Earlier in the week of October 8 the IM F and the World Bank annual meeting, the exchange rate of disputes has been a top issue. Many international voice fear that if the exchange rate issue is not to find a new way of the world will face increased currency risks of war or protectionist, the sustainability of recovery in the global economy will face a huge threat.
World Trade Organization, Pascal Lamy, Director-General of 19 said that the recent exchange rate policy issues in some countries on the dispute could jeopardize global trade. Recent countries in the dispute on the issue of exchange rate policy may still endanger global trade. Although the exchange rate is still only a potential threat, but the threat of trade is probably very dangerous. If the treatment of exchange rates if countries adopt an uncooperative attitude, then the hard-won economic stability and recovery process may face serious challenges. |
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2010-10-31 06:39:31 |
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