House price regulation why limit change limit inflation?
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Sources: oceans nets - guangzhou daily author: XueShiJun March 31 2011 08:14 me two sentences (2) copy link medium sized print medium "limit" change "price", at least from the following factors: one is reluctant to see falling house prices across, 2 it is "to" "medicine not restricted remedy."
Between expectation and reality is always some distance. Many people had previously might think "new countries with over eight" to "all" is restricted, can let prices appropriate callback, according to media reports, but in release its annual "to" limit 40 cities, in addition to the city of Beijing, none appear "drop" word. Published in the capital city of regulating target, zhengzhou, taiyuan, jinan, xian, haikou, etc. Will control target and GDP growth or per capita disposable income growth hook, these city earlier this year's GDP growth expectations set up mostly in 10%.
Beijing's "stability have fall" is commendable, but more cities of control target up not only "fell" but disappointing, so setting growth expectations, "limit price target" peremptory became "standards," not only with "limit" original intention ", also with public opinion expect views. At this time, meditation analysis, can suit the remedy to the case midsized reason, seeking solutions.
"Limit" fails, to "price" against the specter of, at least from the following factors: one is reluctant to see falling house prices across, 2 it is "to" "medicine not restricted remedy." As is known to all, cities for the "land financial" quite rely on, now all over town construction in full swing, and throughout the city government debt also cast debt in the land for pawn, house prices across land "lips death and teeth cold", naturally reluctant to self "weaning," see falling house prices lead to price devaluation. After the formation of system of governance property have owe matching the context around obviously won't give up easily, fiscal this fat land. This is why after launch "to" all restricted dilatory, release its annual house price when again when control target price of reasons. Preset space
Even if house prices control objectives are set around for "drop", statistics on the "technology operation" can also "perfected" the regulation across goal. For instance, with low suburbs dish down average data, limit listed, and city centre building will guarantee prices XinPan price calculated and freeze wait, all can realize the data "beautification" and the standards. Financial structure is house prices across the facts, "kidnapping" when in house prices led directly to the glass house should not throw stones, afraid macro-control stones fell to drop it on his own feet, so either no regulation or the enthusiasm, "limit" guide "price".
Again, even moving around did the "currently restricted to make" also is not necessarily the medicine of the prices regulation. As is known to all, now house property is not a simple a consumer goods, has also become a kind of investment, as XuXiaoNian professors think, house prices is not a short-term supply and demand expected decision, but by the investors' returns expected higher, the more people would buy a house. If only the demand through administrative means to "suppress" there, the future demand rose, supply reduced expectations are more intense, but will encourage investment impulse. From this perspective, the current "restricted to make" will only certain needs "suppress" live, once the policy loose, house prices even appear likely reprisal rise.
For house prices, it is economic means not control without, raise interest rates, tightening monetary policy, increase ChaoFang trade taxes, etc. Also may like economists li yining puts it, "restricted" instead of "limited sales" -- to buy a house, but bought then sell will be restricted. Such as Singapore, buy a house within a year after selling, according to house prices, the second year 16% of reduced to 12 percent tax. Such both neither can "friendly fire" have actual living demand homeowners, also can ChaoFang without the sniper, like this "one size fits all", "friendly fire" those who improve type homeowners.
Perhaps it is just see the above prices control problem, live JianBu recently issued a circular, requires all new countries in implementing "annual", confirm eight new housing price control objectives, in the local area to listen to the views of the community around the control target, making reasonable, and obtains the social recognition and support. Then, follow the spirit, "restricted" change "limited sales", vigorously construction guarantee room is good "opinion", and if still sit back "limit" change "limit inflation", presumably also cannot obtain social "identity". |
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2011-04-02 18:42:42 |
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