China's Foreign Trade Development Trend Analysis
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1 | 2 months, China's trade with international market fast growth of reason, also have warmed last year and seasonal factors lower base. Overall, the foreign trade continues, stabilises restorative growth has basically established the state back. However, due to the world economic and trade situation is relatively complex, plus since since December 2009, import and export trade annulus downward trend, the foreign trade has been is still not overly optimistic, situation of the trade development still faces many uncertain factors and high pressure.
Bottleneck: weak external demand is currently the world economic recovery slow economy growth momentum is still inadequate, mainly developed countries weak consumer demand. U.S. unemployment remains up in January, February 11, new orders dropped in February by the consumer confidence index fell to 46 56.5 percent last month. Japan deflation obvious, January's core consumer price index dropped 1.3 percent year-on-year, is a continuous decline eleven months. Such countries by the Greek debt crisis is still in deepening recession, the eu economic recovery walking difficult. These are weakening growth and will affect our export trade may restrict development.
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Trade friction resistance: grim situation after the outbreak of the financial crisis, China has become the biggest victims of trade protectionism. In 2009, encountered trade remedy survey case 116 up $127 billion, amount, all gen since its entry into wto highs. Since January of this year, the United States to have ruled China origin.certificate wire tray and electric blanket levy, and the high antidumping duty drill pipe launch "I domestic double inverse" survey. This year, the previous two months in trade investigation in 14 cases, involving 11 billion, the amount 152% year-on-year growth amount. Due to the international market demand, the world productivity serious excess, such main economies u.s.-european continuing high unemployment, emerging economies and I market competition becomes increasingly fierce, all portend a period of our country in the future trade friction encountered a may again intensify.
Risk: the RMB exchange rate fluctuation recently, countries such as Europe, and some international financial institutions necessary for China to revalue the renminbi strengthened. In China's foreign trade hasn't achieve fundamental recovery situation, currency appreciation certainly will will weaken the foreign trade international competitiveness. Such as large amount of complete sets of equipment export contract, cycle is long, the exchange rate risk will limit the production and operation of enterprises; Appliances and general machinery and other advantage industry, production and operation of small and medium-sized enterprises with a long cycle, the export of appreciation, low margins picutre extremely limited. Therefore, in the enterprise external business environment severe complex situation, keep policies and the RMB exchange rate policy domestic-demand stability over a period of time to attain steady growth of foreign trade was crucial influence.
Way: transformation and upgrading of foreign trade after the financial crisis, the u.s.-led developed countries emphasizing the development of the entity economy, green economy, implement export promotion strategy. The move will make our enterprise business costs rise, enter and expand the opportunity cost of traditional developed markets increase. Emerging economies and some developing countries, accelerate undertake international industrial transfer, optimize its new industrial and product structure, also make our export face more intense competition.
Meanwhile, the domestic labor price rise continuously, structural and seasonal Labour shortage, energy, resources and environmental factors on foreign trade development restriction progressively larger. Foreign trade continuation of traditional price competition to win extensive growth mode of scale already unsustainable. To adapt to the requirement of sustainable development of foreign trade, financial crisis in some enterprise has begun industry and the adjustment of product mix, and obtained a certain result. Foreign trade enterprises after crisis era, more should speed up the transformation of foreign trade growth mode, through independent innovation, technological transformation and technical training, speeding up the transformation and upgrading of foreign trade. Play in the original on the basis of comparative advantage, and create new competitive advantage and realize quality-benefit growth. |
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Author Resource:-
Chris Holigan a professianl writer from , it provides the high quality products, such as Nitrile Coated Glove, Welding Glove Manufacturer, Leather Work Glove, and many more.
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2011-03-24 02:46:11 |
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