The Global Economy Faces A Downside Risk This Year
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The 2011 the world economic situation and future prospects report points out, major currencies of volatility may hinder 2011 global rapid economic development and global economies continued high unemployment more may inhibit economic recovery pace, the above reason will lead to 2011 the global economic growth slowed sharply.
The United Nations estimates, 2011 global economic growth will reach 3.1 per cent, the more 2010 3.6 percent decline, 2012 global economic growth will speed up to 3.5%, but it still cannot reach the 2010 development level.
The United Nations says, once the downside risks to become a reality, global economic recovery may appear further backwards, Japan and the U.S. economy is quite possible secondary Ethan bottom. The United Nations estimates, 2011, American economic growth will by 2010 2.6% slow to 2.2%, Japan's economic growth will by 2010 2.7% slowed sharply to pesticides.
Report says, to cut its budget deficit, many European countries are enacted and implemented a fiscal tightening policy, which may lead to eurozone growth in 2011 stagnation appear even recession. The United Nations estimates, 2011 the eurozone economy will grow by 2010, with the highest growth rate less than 1.3% of 1.6 per cent. In the euro zone in 17 countries, Greece, Ireland and Portuguese economy will appear to atrophy.
The UN says: "to ensure that the global economy sustained revival economies is necessary to adopt a new round of moderate attention fiscal stimulus measures, improve the employment problem, at the same time insisted perfect global monetary policy is harmonious and unified.
Hong Kong media inventory 2010 global economic nine keywords
Presenting a "secondary Ethan bottom" anxiety and stimulating policies pressure to drop out, the global economy was in very uncertain environment carvered 2010. As an economic history of a period of mirror, though in the past year present in our eyes economic recession and gradually ecological has warmed, but unemployed of zirconium still tightly the developed economies of owning the limb and nerve, inflation demon is eating into emerging market countries results with the internal force, nations policy parted ways also formed of old international social economic force dissolve and dismember. Fortunately, for humans cast by the financial crisis of derivative financial and economic reform and without dropping out continues, the innovation.
Keywords: growth differentiation and one of slowing down
With the original excitant policy of inertia and the new policy of additional strength, the world economy is finally in 2010 from financial crises in the mire of the break out into the reviving orbit.
Developed countries with emerging economies and developing countries to be extraordinarily significant growth divide. According to the IMF's latest research report, 2010 year end, developed countries economic growth only 2.4 percent, while the entire emerging economy and the economic growth in developing countries by speed can be as high as 7.8%, are developed countries economic growth rate of 3 times.
The developed economies internal economic growth pace is also showing speed is differ rhythm. Including Australia, Canada and Sweden medium scale developed economies growth obviously faster than sino-us-eu on major economies; etc. But within the eu, recovery and uneven, Germany 2010 economic growth rate will reach 3.4%, and the eurozone other countries for the 2010 will still negative or zero growth.
It must be pointed out that although the global economy overall performance for positive growth of recovery state, but as to the inventory of economic growth to repair the gradually blurred and excitant strength of economic policy, the world economy structural desalt revealed a slowdown in the basic situation. The data shows, 2010 in the third quarter, the organization for economic cooperation and development (OECD) members overall GDP growth of annulus is 0.6%, than the first quarter fell 0.2%. Meanwhile, mainly developing economies GDP is also showing high after the scene before low, among them the third quarter than the first quarter overall slowdown 0.3%.
Keywords: unemployment -enhanced deterioration and challenges
Although the 2010 world economies all revealed a general goes up the pattern, but it wasn't to arouse people how much excited and delighted, contrary, because followed after the financial crisis in major economies unemployment strongly fermentation, 2010 brings to the international community more pressure and heavy. According to the international Labour organisation expects global unemployment, 2010 will reach 6.5 percent unemployment over 2.1 billion people.
2010 1 to October, the unemployment rate in U.S. never less than 9.5 per cent in November, and again returned to the 9.8% position. In comparison with America, Europe's unemployment rate also appears does not easily. Eurostat announced the latest statistics show that by 2010 in October eu unemployment has continued to maintain the ninth month in 9.6% historic highs, and the eurozone sixteen-member unemployment has from January 9.9% rise to October 10 for the eurozone, since the foundation of record.
In euramerican encounter unemployment stress at the same time, other developed economies of employment market also is not optimistic. Among them, the Japanese 2010 unemployment has from January 4.9% rise to October was 5.1%, Canada's unemployment rate worth to 7.6 percent, Australia's unemployment rate is above 5.4%. And according to the United Nations, according to a report in the latest jobs 0ECD 30 members, all the national unemployment rate in 2010 year appeared different degree of rising.
Keywords no.3: inflation and deflation
2010 appeared in developed countries and emerging market countries inflation deflation coexist and market conditions. Ought to say, since the financial crisis since the outbreak of the developed countries, has been to curb the deflation and make arduous efforts, however, over the past year deflation still got no fundamental improved.
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By :
Jessie Stone
Submitted
2011-01-23 22:43:26 |
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